Model the risk. Not the prediction.
Explore what assumptions about win rate, reward and position sizing imply for the survival of your trading capital. Every tool runs without live exchange data.
Risk of Ruin
Calculate the chance of reaching a defined loss threshold at least once across an independent sequence of trades. Inspect the assumptions and probability curve.
Monte Carlo Simulator
Explore thousands of possible equity paths under your assumptions. Compare ending capital percentiles, drawdowns and first-passage risk.
Position Size
Choose a risk budget and stop distance, then estimate the number of units that fit your plan.
Scenario & Stress Lab
Explore risk sensitivity, exact losing-streak probabilities, stress scenarios and capital-sizing rules without market prices.
A model conditional on your chosen inputs cannot verify a real strategy's win rate, expected reward or future market outcomes. We explicitly separate examples from observed market data. Learn how conditional probability and model uncertainty differ →